Back at work

Only 680 unread emails, after three weeks away. Last year it was over 900. (But that was after four weeks, not three…)

This entry was posted in Uncategorised. Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to Back at work

  1. nwhyte says:

    Mark,

    The SF vote is down by less than 2,600 between the two elections so if they had contested South Belfast they would probably have posted a small absolute gain overall.

    The seats that saw big drops in the SF vote were West Belfast (2639), Newry and Armagh (2108), Foyle (2079) and North Antrim (1003), all seats where pretty much everyone’s vote fell, so I don’t see evidence for exceptional behaviour from former SF voters.

    The seats where SF’s vote rose most were North Belfast (2770), Fermanagh and South Tyrone (2666), West Tyrone (1140), South Antrim (962) and Upper Bann (923). They all also saw falls in support for all the other parties, with the exception of the UUP in West Tyrone and Alliance everywhere except South Antrim.

    It’s pretty clear that FST and North Belfast were being particularly targeted in SF’s general strategy; West Tyrone had special circumstances owing to the Deeny factor; and the other two could reflect enhanced local activism (I know that there is wishful thinking about Westminster prospects in Upper Bann in the long term).

    What I don’t see is any drift away from SF as a result of the St Andrew’s deal. Indeed, their core vote appears more solid than any other party’s, comparing 2010 to 2005.

Comments are closed.