Predictions contest – first day

Of 71 entries received so far:


  • All 71 see SF leader Gerry Adams holding West Belfast.
  • All 71 see DUP leader Ian Paisley holding North Antrim.
  • All 71 think the DUP will hold East Londonderry.
  • All 71 think the DUP will hold Strangford.
  • 70 out of 71 believe that the DUP will hold East Belfast. (One says UUP)
  • 70 think the DUP will hang on to Lagan Valley, with one expecting the UUP to take back the seat lost by Jeffrey Donaldson’s defection.
  • 70 think that SF will hold Mid Ulster, with one optimist expecting the SDLP to win.
  • 70 believe that SF will hold West Tyrone, with one forecasting vistory for Independent candidate Kieran Deeny.
  • 69 expect SF to take Newry and Armagh, with two believing the SDLP will hold the seat.
  • 66 out of 71 believe that the DUP will hold North Belfast. (Five say SF.)
  • 66 think SF will hold Fermanagh and South Tyrone, with 5 forecasting a DUP gain.
  • 64 forecast the the SDLP will hold South Down, but 7 think it will fall to SF.
  • 62 see the DUP gaining East Antrim from the UUP, 8 think the UUP will hold the seat and one optimist thinks it will fall to Alliance.
  • 52 think the UUP will hold North Down
  • A bare majority, 36, think SDLP leader Mark Durkan can hold Foyle, as opposed to 35 who think that SF will take the seat.
  • 39 expect the DUP to capture Upper Bann, with 32 believing that UUP leader David Trimble can hold the seat.
  • Forecasts for South Antrim are evenly split, 35 each calling a DUP gain and a UUP hold, with one free-thinker forecasting that the SDLP will come through the middle.
  • 26 think the DUP will gain South Belfast

One thought on “Predictions contest – first day

Comments are closed.