Five Shakes of the Dragon’s Tail ☋

Links about China and China-EU relations that caught my eye this week

1) There’s only one story in town today, and it hasn’t finished yet: Maroš Šefčovič is in Beijing for two days of talks to try and avert the looming EU-China trade conflict.

Rather than any of the pieces on Šefčovič in Beijing, here are two short papers from ECFR.

Tobias Gehrke looks at Europe’s strategic choice:

https://ecfr.eu/article/stable-decoupling-three-tests-for-europe-in-the-face-of-chinese-economic-coercion/

And Andrew Small has tactical suggestions for what the EU can actually do:

https://ecfr.eu/publication/the-art-of-the-swarm-systemic-rivalry-with-china-on-european-terms/

2) Taking the longer view, over in Foreign Policy, a long piece by Carl Minzner describes “China’s Long Twilight: Demographic Decline, Political Paralysis, and the Fate of Great Powers”. Am not completely convinced myself, but it is well argued.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/china/chinas-long-twilight-carl-minzner

3) Looking at today’s geopolitics, Rana Foroohar has an FT piece about the current megatrends: “China, America and the new great game”

https://www.ft.com/content/8869caf9-3cd1-4300-aeb3-828a4d9da4f9

Kevin Rudd chimes in:

https://mrkrudd.substack.com/p/the-china-us-rapprochement

4) Sorry to go back to the FT again, but this piece about the construction of data centres in Inner Mongolia is a lot more interesting than that description makes it sound:

https://www.ft.com/content/e1dd8bff-b06d-4a40-bbb7-c0a6a36f1c8e

5) To end on a cultural note, in the Guardian Xiaolu Guo takes her daughter to China to explore the legacy of the Tang dynasty (and others).

https://www.theguardian.com/news/2026/sep/29/why-am-i-obsessed-with-chinas-ancient-golden-age-i-took-my-daughter-on-a-trip-to-find-out

More next week.

(I hear that Šefčovič will be briefing EU ambassadors almost as soon as he lands on Sunday.)

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