As you may be aware, we launched the Hugo ballot earlier today.
Having had a certain amount of foreknowledge, I crunched the numbers for the Goodreads and LibraryThing raters in several categories last weekend, and came up with the following stats. This is of course no more than a reflection of the tastes of the user base on both systems; it may (or may not) be useful to assess how far each of the finalists has penetrated the market.
Best Novel
Goodreads
LibraryThing
Title
raters
rating
owners
rating
The Adventures of Amina al-Sirafi, Shannon Chakraborty
37750
4.3
1077
4.34
Starter Villain, John Scalzi
34356
4.2
772
4.05
Witch King, Martha Wells
14651
3.72
888
3.78
Translation State, Ann Leckie
8360
4.13
444
4.2
Some Desperate Glory, Emily Tesh
6789
4.06
463
4.08
The Saint of Bright Doors, Vajra Chandrasekera
1346
3.72
160
3.48
Unusually, a clear leader on all four metrics.
Best Novella
Goodreads
LibraryThing
Title
raters
rating
owners
rating
Thornhedge, T. Kingfisher
20078
4.05
543
4.14
The Mimicking of Known Successes, Malka Older
4833
3.66
279
3.84
Mammoths at the Gates, Nghi Vo
3704
4.27
148
4.36
Rose/House, Arkady Martine
1548
3.8
97
3.46
(Adventures in Space: New Short stories by Chinese & English Science Fiction Writers)
22
3.41
2
–
The last of these is the anthology in which the missing two finalists were both published, which has not really penetrated the mass market.
Best Graphic Story or Comic
Goodreads
LibraryThing
Title
raters
rating
owners
rating
Saga, Vol. 11
4456
4.26
132
4.02
Bea Wolf
2234
3.46
204
4.15
Shubeik Lubeik / Your Wish Is My Command
2531
4.52
127
4.41
Wonder Woman Historia: The Amazons
858
4.5
64
4.35
The Witches of World War II
158
3.09
17
2.64
三体漫画：第一部 / The Three Body Problem, Part One
–
–
–
–
More people nominated The Witches of World War II for the Hugos than own it on LibraryThing. Which possibly indicates the sad decline of LibraryThing.
Best Related Work
Goodreads
LibraryThing
Title
raters
rating
owners
rating
A City on Mars, Kelly and Zach Weinersmith
2070
4.12
211
4.24
The Culture: The Drawings, Iain M. Banks
54
4
47
3.36
A Traveller in Time, Maureen Kincaid Speller
6
4.5
6
–
All These Worlds, Niall Harrison
4
4
5
–
中国科幻口述史, 第二卷, 第三卷 / Chinese Science Fiction: An Oral History, vols 2 and 3 杨枫 / Yang Feng
–
–
–
–
雨果X访谈 (Discover X), 王雅婷 (Tina Wong)
(video interviews)
The last of these is not going to register on any book logging system, and the second last hasn’t made a mark in the West – so far. Having said that, only one of the Western finalists has achieved much market penetration as yet; again, a lot more people nominated both A Traveller in Time and All These Worlds than own either on either book-logging system.
Lodestar Award for Best YA Book
Goodreads
LibraryThing
Title
raters
rating
owners
rating
The Sinister Booksellers of Bath, Garth Nix
4948
4.06
310
3.91
To Shape A Dragon’s Breath, Moniquill Blackgoose
4866
4.19
251
4.15
Unraveller, Frances Hardinge
2167
4.12
157
4.08
Abeni’s Song, by P. Djèlí Clark
380
3.97
50
4.00
Promises Stronger than Darkness, Charlie Jane Anders
313
4.21
49
3.94
Liberty’s Daughter, Naomi Kritzer
198
4.12
41
4.11
Unusual to have two finalists close at the top in terms of both GR raters and LT owners.
As I said, this number-crunching has proved a good guide to the outcome rather less than half the time in the past; so I take it as I find it.
