The baby in the park: an update

I wrote back in March about the mystery of the baby found in a Philadelphia park in 1917, how her children and I had got in touch through ancestry.com and how I had definitely identified the baby’s mother, and also tentatively identified the baby’s father as a distant cousin of my grandmother’s.

As often happens when you work on these things, a niggle of doubt continued in my mind about the baby’s paternity. The mother’s identity was clear enough; but I worried that my candidate for the father, who I referred to as “Bill” in my previous post, was really too distantly related me to be a plausible candidate for grandfather to “Patricia”, “Derek” and “Bella”. Their DNA links to me were of the order of third cousins; if Bill was their grandfather, they would be my fifth cousins, and one would expect the DNA connections to be much more diluted than they are.

I worried away at this, and went back to look at the list of my grandmother’s first cousins, rather than anyone more distant; all descended from a couple who I will call Bill and Sally, born 1810s, who lived all of their lives near Boston. (A different Bill to the previous one.) I realised that I had missed one interesting candidate, who I will call “Edward”, son of Bill and Sally’s older daughter. Edward’s older brother “Chris” had moved to California in 1909, so I had ruled him out, but I had somehow failed to notice that Edward and the middle brother “David” had stayed in the East. David spent most of his life in his home town in Massachusetts, but Edward had moved around a fair bit. He actually died in Philadelphia during the second world war; and, digging a bit further into the records, I discovered that he had also spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania from 1907 to 1917, including, crucially, that he lived in Philadelphia in 1916, exactly when the baby in the park was conceived.

To say that I was excited was an understatement. I realised also that although Edward was not himself known to have had other children, I had identified two of Chris’s great-grandchildren, Edward’s great-great-nephews, on another genetics site, myheritage.com – identified as “Henry” and “Ian” on this diagram.

Patricia needed little persuading to let me upload her DNA sample to myheritage.com. If I was right about Edward being her grandfather, then the link between her and Edward’s great-great-nephews should be twice as strong as the link between her and me; second cousins once removed, as opposed to third cousins.

On a Saturday morning, my email pinged with a message from myheritage.com. I clicked excitedly to their site to see the analysis. Would it prove my theory that Edward was the father of the baby in the park?

Er, no. Patricia’s link with Henry was actually weaker than her link with me. And her link with Ian was so weak that it was off the scale of measurability. My Edward theory looked to have been completely blown out of the water.

I went back to the drawing board. Specifically, I went back to 23andMe, the website where I had first signed up for this kind of thing. After a bit more digging around, I realised that no less than three other known descendants of Bill and Sally, my great-great-grandparents, were on the site. And we knew that the father of the baby in the park must have been a mature man in 1916. If he was also a descendant of Bill and Sally, there were only seven possibilities:

  • Bill and Sally’s sons, Albert and Brian;
  • Bill and Sally’s daughter’s sons, Chris, David and Edward
  • Albert’s son Frank
  • Brian’s son George.

Luckily four of these had descendants on 23andMe. Chris’s great-great-granddaughter by his eldest daughter, who I’ll call Jo; Frank’s great-granddaughter Kate, also Albert’s great-great-granddaughter; a great-grandson of Albert by his second marriage, who I’ll call Lenny; and me, great-grandson of Brian and great-nephew of George.

There is no need to go into complexity here. It’s pretty simple.

  • If Chris, David or Edward was the grandfather of Patricia, Bella and Derek, then their DNA should be closer to Jo’s than to Kate’s, Lenny’s or mine. (Already pretty much excluded as a possibility, by the myheritage.com results.)
  • If Frank was the grandfather of Patricia, Bella and Derek, then their DNA should be closer to Kate’s than to Jo’s, Lenny’s or mine.
  • If Albert was the grandfather of Patricia, Bella and Derek, then their DNA should be closer to Lenny’s than to Jo’s, Kate’s or mine.
  • If Brian or George was the grandfather of Patricia, Bella and Derek, then their DNA should be closer to mine than to Jo’s Kate’s or Lenny’s. (Already pretty much excluded, because their links to me should be a lot closer than they are, if this was the case.)

At this point I needed to persuade Patricia, Bella and Derek to all submit samples to 23andMe. Again, they needed little persuading. It took a while to get everything organised, but the results came back in the end, and for all three of them, the link with Kate was much closer than their links with Jo, Lenny or me. It looked very much like Frank must be their grandfather.

Another factor elevates this from probability to certainty. As I have noted before, 23andMe allows you to do chromosome-by-chromosome comparison. Very interestingly, Kate shares X chromosome DNA with all three of Patricia, Bella and Derek. We people, generally AMAB, who have Y chromosomes can only inherit X chromosome DNA from our mothers and not our fathers. (You folks with two X chromosomes, generally AFAB, have inherited that DNA from both of your parents.) That means that if you share X chromosome DNA with anyone, there cannot be a father-son link in your genealogical connection, because sons inherit X chromosome DNA only from their mothers.

But Kate’s link with six of the seven potential fathers of the baby in the park does include a father-son connection. Five of them are related to her through the father-son link between Albert and Frank, and the sixth is Albert himself. The only one of the seven with whom Kate could share X chromosome DNA is her own great-grandfather, Frank. (I myself do not share X-chromosome DNA with any of the other people in the chart, because my link to them all is through my father.)

So, I think I have solved a 104-year-old mystery. We still don’t know how Frank and Peggy got together, to set in motion the course of events that resulted in the birth of the baby abandoned in the park in Philadelphia. Frank was working in Buffalo that year, and also had to visit Washington DC now and then for business; we also know that his cousin Edward was living in Philadelphia. Perhaps Frank stopped off in Philly to visit Edward, and met with Peggy then? Then again, she was a musician; perhaps she was performing in DC or in Buffalo, and met Frank there? I doubt that we will ever find out.

But we do know for sure who the biological parents of the baby in the park were.

This sort of research is really difficult and not cheap. We needed Patricia, Bella and Derek to supply DNA samples to two different testing sites, and I think if I were not related to them myself, it would have taken a lot longer to get to the bottom of the mystery. It also frankly took a couple of nights of insomnia to clear my own concentration to the right point.

But I would love to do more of this. It’s immensely gratifying. I’ve already been asked to help out with one of the Philippines cases mentioned here. In the end, everyone has a right to know where they come from. I have a real job, so I doubt that I will ever make a living out of this kind of work, but it would be really interesting to do it again.

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Whoniversaries 27 June

i) births and deaths

27 June 1991: death of Milton Subotsky, who produced and wrote Dr. Who and the Daleks (1965) and Daleks – Invasion Earth 2150 AD (1966), the two cinema films starring Peter Cushing as Doctor Who.

ii) broadcast anniversaries

27 June 1964: broadcast of "The Unwilling Warriors", second episode of the story we now call The Sensorites. The Sensorites threaten to take Susan to their own planet as a hostage.

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2021 Hugos: Best Graphic Story or Comic

A couple of people have asked me if I will return to the staff of DisCon III now that the Chair has resigned. Whoever the new Chair is, I will decline any such invitation. My former position as WSFS Division Head was filled within twenty-four hours of my own resignation, by someone who (unlike me) has actually done that job before, and who does not need me looking over their shoulder. I have no information about the rest of the vacancies, and frankly it’s none of my business whether others of the former team decide to return if invited to do so. Whoever does pick up the reins, I wish them well; I think that we left the Hugo Administration side of things in pretty good shape, and there is of course continuity in Site Selection and the Business Meeting. (One of my few regrets about the way things ended is that we had not yet set up systematic monitoring of the votes coming in, so I have absolutely no idea who is winning.)

Having been liberated earlier than I expected from my responsibilities for this year’s Hugos, I can start blogging my views on the finalists for those who are interested. I think the Best Graphic Story or Comic category has really improved over the years that it has been run; as my regular reader knows, I am worried about category inflation for the Hugos, but this one certainly brings more than it takes.

6) Invisible Kingdom, vol 2: Edge of Everything, by G. Willow Wilson and Christian Ward

Second frame of Part 03:

One of the problems of this Hugo category is that when later volumes in a series are nominated by people who have grown to love the series as a whole, those of us who have not read the preceding volumes are rather at a loss to understand what is going on. This is gorgeously drawn, intense space opera, but I have not read the first volume so was missing the background, and on top of that not much seemed to actually happen despite a lot of running about. You can get it here.

5) DIE, Volume 2: Split the Party, by Kieron Gillen, Stephanie Hans and Clayton Cowles

Second frame of Part 8:

And here’s another second volume on the final ballot, with the important difference that the first volume was on last year’s ballot, so I had at least read it. It’s about a group of role-playing friends who are swept into a fantasy world and must try and reunite to get back. Again, quite a lot of middle-book running around, and I do not really care for any of the characters. You can get it here.

4) Monstress, vol. 5: Warchild, by Marjorie Liu and Sana Takeda

Second frame of Chapter 27:

Not a second volume, but a fifth, where all four previous volumes were Hugo finalists and indeed three of them won, two of them in years when I was the Hugo Administrator. The art is gorgeous and the world-building fascinating; however I have slightly lost track of the plot and, as with previous volumes, the violence is a bit too squicky for my taste.

Though there was one moment that gave me a big laugh.

You can get it here.

3) Ghost-Spider vol. 1: Dog Days Are Over, by Seanan McGuire, Takeshi Miyazawa and Rosie Kämpe

Second frame of third part:

I have not always got on with McGuire’s work before, but I did enjoy this, a Buffy-esque story of teen superhero Spider-Gwen trying to keep a handle on both her crime-fighting life and her college education – in a parallel Earth, of course – which being hunted by a Baddie. Laugh-out-loud funny in places. You can get it here.

2) Once & Future vol. 1: The King Is Undead, by Kieron Gillen, Dan Mora, Tamra Bonvillain, and Ed Dukeshire

Second frame of Chapter 3:

Another one that I really liked – an audacious reinvention of the Matter of Britain, where King Arthur returns as an undead horror in league with present-day fascists, and our hero, together with his tough-as-nails granny, must thwart them. Moves at a cracking pace with some good set-pieces in south-west England. You can get it here.

1) Parable of the Sower, written by Octavia Butler, adapted by Damian Duffy and John Jennings

Second frame of 2026 section:

I was sure I had read the original version of Parable of the Sower, but I can’t actually find a record anywhere of having done so, and don’t seem to have it on my shelves. So I was coming to the story as a whole fresh, a grim tale of a young woman’s experience of the catastrophic breakdown of society in near-future California (much nearer now than it was when the book first came out) and her building for a better world. I think Duffy and Jennings have done a tremendous job of bringing Butler’s prose respectfully to graphic life, not going overboard on the horror but not underselling it either, and making each character distinct on the page. So it gets my top vote this year. You can get it here.


2021 Hugos: Best Novel | Best Novella | Best Novelette | Best Short Story | Best Series | Best Related Work | Best Graphic Story or Comic | Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form | Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form | Best Professional Artist and Best Fan Artist | Lodestar | Astounding

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Whoniversaries 26 June

i) births and deaths

26 June 1914: birth of John Bailey, who played the Commander in The Sensorites (First Doctor, 1964), Edward Waterfield in The Evil of the Daleks (Second Doctor, 1967) and Sezom in The Horns of Nimon (Fourth Doctor, 1980).

ii) broadcast anniversaries

26 June 1965: broadcast of "The Planet of Decision", sixth episode of the story we now call The Chase

26 June 2010: broadcast of The Big Bang, ending Season Five of New Who. How to summarise it? Multiple time lines, the Tardis explodes ending the Universe, and Amy and Rory leave their wedding reception too travel with the Doctor.

iii) dates specified in canon

26 June 1284: an alien energy entity posing as the Pied Piper kidnaps 130 children from Hamelin in Germany, as mentioned in the 2009 SJA story, The Day of the Clown.

26 June 2010: Rory Williams starts to travel with the Doctor and Amy, returning to Earth for their wedding, despite the end of the universe; after which they start to travel again.