Straws in the wind

Managed a quick chat with the Finnish ex-foreign minister about my job prospects. He said he’d heard back from Commissioner Rehn that I am a good candidate and will certainly be interviewed, but that “it remains to be seen how national balance and gender balance can be achieved.” It’s not much, but it takes me forward from a week ago, when I feared I might not get the job due to being male; now there seems at least a chance that the gender balance of the rest of the team might be shaped around me if I get the job.

Of the people I emailed yesterday, two of the British MEPs have promised to speak to Rehn tomorrow when he appears in Strasbourg, which is probably enough for now.

Busted!

Well, there are one or two science fiction writers who are popular in some quarters but whose writing simply does nothing for me. And I have said so on my website. Well, now one of them has found my website and sent me a couple of rather sweet emails asking why? A difficult question to answer honestly, and even more difficult to answer tactfully…

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Job latest (no actual concrete news)

Well, I just spoke to the Foreign Office who told me that their info was that there are two positions of the six unfilled, not one. Interesting – the chef de cabinet and deputy positions have been announced, which leaves four. I had assumed that two would go to Finns and one to my Swedish friend. Butif there are two vacancies left then either

a) one of the the positions I thought would be taken by a Finn is actually open to other nationalities (and knowing Rehn’s reputation as an internationalist – only one of his current cabinet is a Finn – that seems possible), or else

b) my Swedish friend herself may be off the team if a better candidate comes along.

I think the first is more likely but I don’t think it’s appropriate to inquire of my friend.

Interestingly the Foreign Office told me that they themselves were neutral between me and the guy currently doing the job for Chris Patten, though obviously (they said) Patten himself will be pushing hard on his man’s behalf. But if I were Rehn I would be inclined to start with a team I had chosen myself. Also I suspect my network is deeper rooted than Patrick’s.

What I have done is try to mobilise support from within my own network. The Finnish ambassador I tried last week did actually contact Rehn on my behalf, and got the same reply as the British – “no decision has been made yet”. The former Finnish foreign minister who also promised to contact Rehn hasn’t yet confirmed to me that he did. The leader of the Liberals in the European Parliament promises to mention me when he sees Rehn on Wednesday.

This afternoon I’ve emailed a number of contacts either to ask if they know Rehn or (if I felt it appropriate) to ask them to write a reference. I’ll follow up by phone with them tomorrow.

a) “Do you know Rehn?” – 4 British Liberal MEPs; one Hungarian MP Matyas Eorsi; one Dutch elder statesman type.

b) “Please write me a reference!” – Irish board member and former MEP; Polich board member and MEP; Finnish MP and ex-MEP; Belgian MEP; two Dutch MEPs.

I’m beginning to realise that a strike rate of 1 in 4 from all of this is probably better than I can expect. So I’m trying hard to think of other useful political contacts: Finns, Liberals, or anyone really, I’m not fussy.

I bet the Finnish ex-president never made that phone call. Paddy Ashdown’s people had the decency to confirm that their boss did not in fact mention me over his lunch with Rehn last week. They had warned me in advance that the situation wasn’t really appropriate for it. I also emailed the Irish foreign ministry but I don’t honestly expect anything to come of that – they’re pretty useless at this kind of thing.

So I feel a bit better than I did at the weekend. What bothers me now is that I’m travelling a lot over the next few weeks – Moldova this coming Thursday to Sunday, the Hague today week, then a not-quite-48-hour trip to Belfast from Tuesday night to Thursday morning next week, then Portugal from the following Wednesday through to Sunday. And we have visitors on the weekend in between for Ursula’s christening. So if it comes to a job interview, it could be tricky to track me down.

In passing

Electoral vote predictor now has Kerry back in the lead, over the magic 270. Florida and Pennsylvania are crucial. (Sign up via .)

Samuel Pepys, who doesn’t like Shakespeare much, goes to a performance of Twelfth Night just because the King is there (and incidentally breaking a promise to his wife), doesn’t realise it is a Shakespeare play but hates it anyway. Also a dog which does bizarre things with dead cats. (Sign up via .)

Commemoration.

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New review

Way way back four years ago I decided to compile a list of the stories which have won both Hugo and Nebula awards. Then I decided it wasn’t enough to list them, I should buy them and read them again, or for the first time if I hadn’t already. This took a good eight months, with Poul Anderson’s “Goat Song” the last story I was able to track down. Finally, I decided that I should do something a bit more substantial, and try writing pieces of around 1000-2000 words about each story, trying to delve a bit more into the background if possible, and at least explaining their impact on one reader, ie me.

I decided not to take a chronological approach but to do it alphabetically by title. So, the first was Terry Bisson’s “Bears Discover Fire”Beggars in Spain” (the short story, not the novel expansion); then Isaac Asimov’s “The Bicentennial ManBloodchildBlood Music” (again, the short story, not the novel expansion); then Fritz Leiber’s “Catch That Zeppelin!The DispossessedDoomsday BookDreamsnakeDuneEnder’s GameEnemy MineEven The QueenFire WatchFlowers For AlgernonForever PeaceThe Forever WarThe Fountains of ParadiseAmerican GodsGatewayGeorgia on My Mind”Coraline.

So now I have reached Poul Anderson’s “Goat Song” – 23 reviews done, 32 to go. At some more significant point, like the 28th review which will be the half way mark, I shall pause to think about what if anything I have learnt from the process.

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September Books 4) The Tale of the Next Great War

4) The Tale of the Next Great War, 1871-1914, ed. I.F. Clarke

Worthy, but to be honest, a little dull. Clarke has written a couple of the key works on sf of this period, and this collection brings together 14 short stories anticipating developments in warfare between the Franco-Prussian war and Sarajevo 1914. Some of the best known works of the period are omitted, I suppose because Clarke has already collected them elsewhere. A couple of familiar names crop up here unexpectedly – Arthur Conan Doyle, Jack London, A.A. Milne (this last a short parody of the genre).

With relatively journalistic material like this, I tend to rate the stories (perhaps unfairly) on their predictive ability. Jack London’s tale of the Yellow Peril, wiped out by germ warfare, does not impress on this count. Conan Doyle’s piece about submarines and Gustaf Janson’s reflections on warplanes score well, but for me the standout story was an early one, the anonymous “Der Ruhm; or the Wreck of German Unity”, published in Macmillan’s in July 1871 shortly after the proclamation of the German Empire. The author correctly predicts the humiliation and collapse of Germany as a result of militarist overstretch. Of course it was rather less immediate than he anticipated, but it nonetheless happened not once but twice in the following seventy-five years. The story in this genre I’m still looking out for is The Next Generation, by J.F. Maguire (Liberal MP for Dungarvan and later for Cork City in the 19th century). Published in 1871, it is set in an 1891 where “the UK has been much improved by steam-powered balloons and the granting of women’s suffrage; romance and the explication of other meliorist reforms just this side of utopia take up the remainder of a very long book” (according to John Clute in the Encyclopedia of Science Fiction). It seems rather rare though.

Unwelcome news – though not decisive

Well, on Wednesday morning I heard from the British that there is anothe UK candidate for the job I want to get with Commissioner Olli Rehn – specifically, the guy who is currently doing the same job for Chris Patten. It seems that the Foreign Office is backing him, not me.

I was pissed off but not devastated by this. As someone else had already said to me, having the FCO on your side in these cases can sometimes be a hindrance rather than an advantage. But I was annoyed that they had given me to understand that I had their support, when in reality they had another candidate in mind. My revenge will be that, if I get the job, I shall have my nationality listed as Irish. Perfidious Albion, hah.

So I started working the Finnish angle again. A few months ago I had had a very friendly meeting with their ambassador-at-large for the Balkans. Googling his name for connections with Commissioner Rehn, I discovered that not only do the two know each other, but when the ambassador got embroiled in a spy scandal a couple of years ago, Rehn wrote a book to clear his name. I contacted the ambassador, who replied literally within seconds, promising to flag me up as a good candidate when he met Rehn yesterday.

I also emailed a former Finnish foreign minister, who replied in similarly positive terms. The fact that I haven’t yet heard back from either the ambassador or the ex-minister suggests to me that Commissioner Rehn is still making up his mind; if he had made the decision I guess the news would have reached me one way or another. And if he’s still making up his mind, that suggests that my last-minute lobbying via Helsinki may well have improved my chances.

So that leaves me hanging on somewhat. Then yesterday evening my boss called me in for a heart-to-heart. He had picked up my potential plans on the grapevine (I haven’t made a particular secret of it) and was actually disquietingly keen on the idea of my moving on; not out of dissatisfaction with me or my work, but because of his usual annual angst about budget cuts. On the one hand, I went through the process last year and the year before of him panicking that there was no money and bracing for huge cuts to my budget which turned out not to be necessary; on the other, it’s very unnerving when my own position, not just my program, becomes part of the equation.

So, an unsettled weekend looms, with unsettled weather to boot. At least we have a couple of things to look forward to – a wedding reception this evening, and a neighbour’s birthday party tomorrow evening.

Incidentally I shook hands with Peter Mandelson at a reception on Wednesday night; he seems to be settling in (and as someone pointed out the last-but-one commissioner to have his portfolio, competition, was also British). But I have no intention of seeking work with him.

Language Quiz update

I got a note yesterday from my website service provider to the effect that I had come close to my bandwidth quota for this month – on the 10th! Since the language quiz was picked up by, in particular, Crooked Timber and also and Language Hat, I had over a thousand visitors on Wednesday and over 1300 on Thursday. With only 500 yesterday, things seem to be calming down. Loads of helpful corrections for mistakes made by me (or perhaps McDonald’s) in my Estonian, Greek, Hebrew, Icelandic, Latvian, Polish, Portuguese, Romanian, Russian, Slovakian, and Slovenian.

It’s weird, given also that I’ve been all over the Macedonian media for the last two weeks, to have this level of visibility in a completely different sphere of human activity for a completely different reason at precisely the same time.

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Celebrating peace

Went to an awards ceremony presented by the European Centre for Common Ground last night, largely out of respect for President Trajkovski of Macedonia, who was killied in a plane crash in February, and whose wife was collecting a posthumous award on his behalf. I got to talk to her afterwards, which was nice; we managed to stay off Macedonian politics, which was a relief since I’ve spent most of the last two weeks immersed in it.

The evening was mainly devoted to awards for Middle East journalism, one of which was presented by John Hume, of all people. He made a speech about how if we could get peace in the Middle East there would be no more war anywhere (sentiment good, logic less so). There was a Brussels-based Mediterranean band which finished off the evening with a chorus of “Bella Ciao”. Then just as we were about to go to the buffet reception, John Hume grabbed the microphone and treated us to an unaccompanied chorus of “Danny Boy”. He was surprisingly good.

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A letter from ex-President Carter…

…to Democratic Senator Zell Miller, in the wake of the latter’s speech at the Republican convention:

You seem to have forgotten that loyal Democrats elected you as mayor and as state senator. Loyal Democrats, including members of my family and me, elected you as lieutenant governor and as governor. It was a loyal Democrat, Lester Maddox, who assigned you to high positions in the state government when you were out of office. It was a loyal Democrat, Roy Barnes, who appointed you as U.S. Senator when you were out of office. By your historically unprecedented disloyalty, you have betrayed our trust.

Great Georgia Democrats who served in the past, including Walter George, Richard Russell, Herman Talmadge, and Sam Nunn disagreed strongly with the policies of Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, John Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, and me, but they remained loyal to the party in which they gained their public office. Other Democrats, because of philosophical differences or the race issue, like Bo Callaway and Strom Thurmond, at least had the decency to become Republicans.

Everyone knows that you were chosen to speak at the Republican Convention because of your being a “Democrat,” and it’s quite possible that your rabid and mean-spirited speech damaged our party and paid the Republicans some transient dividends.

Perhaps more troublesome of all is seeing you adopt an established and very effective Republican campaign technique of destroying the character of opponents by wild and false allegations. The Bush campaign’s personal attacks on the character of John McCain in South Carolina in 2000 was a vivid example. The claim that war hero Max Cleland was a disloyal American and an ally of Osama bin Laden should have given you pause, but you have joined in this ploy by your bizarre claims that another war hero, John Kerry, would not defend the security of our nation except with spitballs. (This is the same man whom you described previously as “one of this nation’s authentic heroes, one of this party’s best-known and greatest leaders — and a good friend.”)

I, myself, never claimed to have been a war hero, but I served in the navy from 1942 to 1953, and, as president, greatly strengthened our military forces and protected our nation and its interests in every way. I don’t believe this warrants your referring to me as a pacificist.

Zell, I have known you for forty-two years and have, in the past, respected you as a trustworthy political leader and a personal friend. But now, there are many of us loyal Democrats who feel uncomfortable in seeing that you have chosen the rich over the poor, unilateral preemptive war over a strong nation united with others for peace, lies and obfuscation over the truth, and the political technique of personal character assassination as a way to win elections or to garner a few moments of applause. These are not the characteristics of great Democrats whose legacy you and I have inherited.

Thanks to Talking Points Memo and others.

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Hard work

So, I got called to a business lunch at fifteen minutes’ notice. The Deputy Prime Minister of country X had been told to look me up while he was in Brussels so he invited me to lunch, somewhat to the annoyance of his hosts. He and I then huddled at one end of the table, muttering conspiratorially to each other in German (our best mutual language as it turned out) while his aides and bodyguards trapped our hosts (who actually were German) at the other end. But it was a very useful conversation.

Then a reception in the evening. the deputy head of one of the other embassies told me she’d been busy because of the arrical of her ambassador. “Oh!” I exclaimed in delight, “You have a new ambassador then?” No, she explained, it was just that the old one had been on holiday and had just come back. But, she whispered, he actually is going to be replaced – but he doesn’t know that yet! (The deputy head of mission and her foreign minister are from one political faction; the ambassador from another, thanks to the delicate power-sharing arrangement in their country. He is also not very good at his job.)

And my boss is back after three weeks travelling. Things will pick up around the office now…

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Crazed loons

This kind of thing really annoys me:

Beqiri was given an official platform at the behest of ICG Balkans head honcho Nicholas Whyte, who invited him to speak on the very pressing need for all Albanians to live in one tidy state. While Whyte was careful to “express disagreements,” but promised to include the FBKSH platform as one of the three possible solutions to the Empire’s Balkan quagmire.

This tepid response was, of course, trumped by the fact that a criminal militant urging violent changes of international borders was invited to speak in the decorous and oh-so altruistic confines of the ICG anterooms. Hey, way to marginalize the extremists, guys!

As I noted in this journal at the time, I thought this was a confidential meeting rather than an “official platform” when I organised it. The conversation took place in a nearby cafe rather than in our anterooms (I don’t think we have any anterooms anyway). And my job is actually to talk to people who I often don’t like and usually disagree with, in order to find out what they really think.

It’s such a crappy piece anyway. I mean, the next paragraph:

German authorities did not provide any details on possible extradition to Albania, and the case seems to have vanished from the radar thereafter. However, it seems likely that Beqiri made it back to the fatherland.

– well, the author seems to have missed the news reports of the German extradition procedures in June.

Aaargh.

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The sf I like (briefly)

asks about my favourite sf authors. A proper answer will have to wait a few days. But authors I particularly enjoy include Brian Aldiss; Iain Banks; Ray Bradbury; Lois McMaster Bujold; Ted Chiang; Arthur C. Clarke; Philip K. Dick; Neil Gaiman; Ursula Le Guin; Madeleine L’Engle; H.P. Lovecraft; Ian McDonald; Ken MacLeod; Terry Pratchett; J.K. Rowling; Neal Stephenson; Sherri S Tepper; J.R.R. Tolkien; Connie Willis; last but by no means least Roger Zelazny. More information on my tastes can be found here and here. More, as they say, later. I’ll just say I’ve gone right off Asimov after a teenage fling.

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The truth will out

Earlier today I was at a presentation of a report on Turkey’s prospects for EU membership. All pretty much as you would expect; and then someone asked one of the authors of the report, a former French Prime Minister, why he felt that Turkey was no threat to the European project. And he replied, more or less:

“I was born in 1930. I became a European federalist at the age of 17. I wanted to build a Carolingian European state, able to challenge the Americans as a real superpower. But this all changed once we let in the British, and the dream was killed off by the Maastricht Treaty. So, since Europe doesn’t have the will to be anything more than a rather well developed rules-based market economy, why not let Turkey in? It does them good and it doesn’t do us any further harm. And people who say that letting Turkey in is dangerous to the Euro-federalist project are lying. Turkey would indeed be dangerous to that project if it was still alive. But it is dead.”

Two extraordinary things about the spech. First of all, I don’t think I’ve heard anyone before publicly recant federalism in quite such graphic terms in public in front of a Brussels audience. And secondly, I imagine that even as recently as ten years ago a former French Prime Minister would have naturally made his remarks in French. (The report was published in English, French, German, Italian, Spanish and Turkish.)

The Finnish chairman of the report committee, and its Austrian rapporteur, shuffled their feet in some embarrassment. Both had played important roles in bringing their respective countries into the EU; and it’s easy to forget that that was less than ten years ago.

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The moment of truth approaches

So, the process is in its last stages.

I was at a rather dull meeting this morning (with one or two bright points which I’ll write up in a public post this evening). In attendance also was my good friend M. who told me that she had discovered that five of the six places in Commissioner Rehn’s cabinet are already filled. Unfortunately for me, four of the five are male, and only one female, and the Finns are particularly concerned to have a reasonable representation of women, so I may well lose out.

But apparently their ex-President put in a word for me over lunch, and Paddy Ashdown will do the same tomorrow. And my friend M., who is a woman, argued strongly to the Commissioner that gender shouldn’t really matter so much. So at least the wait is likely to be over soon.

I hope it’s not necessary to say that I myself don’t particularly resent the gender dimension to this situation. I’m a little pissed off that I may lose out because they couldn’t find a Finnish woman to fill one of the three slots for Finns, but I’m well aware that all these positions are created and filled by political criteria; I suspect that my native language will also tell against me (supposedly there should be some balance between French speakers and English speakers). And in any case I support the idea of hiring more women for senior political positions in general, which means by extension that I have to take the lumps if this turns out to work against me in particular.

But it’s not over yet anyway…

Hugo Awards

Well, no really bad story won, and only one category really disappointed me.

Best Novel: Paladin of Souls, by Lois McMaster Bujold. I’m a fervent Bujoldian, and really like this book; I just happened to think two other nominees were slightly better. Bujold’s third fantasy novel, and her second in the world of The Curse of Chalion, the action is set in a much smaller scale than the continent-spanning action of its predecessor; the characters are beautifully drawn, in a world where theology is an applied science; and it’s nice to have an adventure and romance story whose character is actually middle-aged.

Best Novella: The Cookie Monster by Vernor Vinge. I thought it would win, as Vinge tends to win Hugo awards these days. Seems at first to be a normal story a la Microserfs. But then it turns out to be much much closer to numerous classic sf stories, mentioning any one of which will give away the main point of the plot. I don’t normally go for Vinge but I thought this was pretty good (though Frederik Pohl did it better). I still preferred The Empress of Mars, by Kage Baker.

Best Novelette: Legions of Time, by Michael Swanwick. I find Swanwick’s sense of humour sometimes a bit wearing, but this one worked for me. Woman in 1930s New York has a job where she Must Not Open The Door. She opens the door. Time-travelling and saving the world ensue. Good fun, but I put it fifth out of six.

Best Short Story: A Study in Emerald, by Neil Gaiman. This is by far the best story from a collection of stories melding the worlds of Sherlock Holmes and H.P. Lovecraft; the narrator takes us through his unspeakable experiences in Afghanistan, his eccentric Baker Street flatmate, and encounters with a royal family whose habits are rather unlike the home life of our own dear queen, and a final confrontation with his version of England’s subversive mastermind. I think Gaiman’s writing is a bit more uneven than most people like to admit, but he’s caught the voice of Conan Doyle perfectly here, and interspersed the narrative with slyly allusive small ads from the alternative London he has envisaged.

Bujold now has twice as many Best Novel Hugos as any other living author (Heinlein ahead of her on five, but only if you count the retro-Hugo he was awarded on Friday, and Brin, Card, Cherryh, Clarke, Haldeman, Le Guin, Vinge, Willis, and the late Asimov and Zelazny on two each). Swanwick has now won five Hugos in the last six years, a unique winning streak. Gaiman has won three Hugos in different categories in consecutive years, a feat only previously managed by Ursula Le Guin in 1973-75.

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New DVD player

Well, not actually new, because I bought it last weekend. But we only got around to actually using it today, to watch 1) Finding Nemo (which neither Anne nor I had seen before, but F had, in school, in Dutch; Anne shed a tear or two) and after F had gone to bed 2) Casablanca (which Anne hadn’t seen before but I had several times; I shed a tear or two at the “Marseillaise” scene but I always do). Well, I think we shall be adding more to our collection…

September Books 3) The Sandman: Endless Nights

3) The Sandman: Endless Nights, by Neil Gaiman. a recent coda to the Sandman series, with one short story for each of the seven Endless siblings. A couple of them – Despair and Destiny – really seemed pretty pointless, and I didn’t think much of the Dream story either. I enjoyed all the others though; a marvellously sultry tale of Desire, and the Destruction, Delirium and Death stories all left me wishing they had been longer.

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September Books 2) Persepolis

2) Persepolis: The Story of a Childhood, by Marjane Satrapi. I bought this today to continue my comics education, from Het Besloten Land, the shop on Parijsstraat in Leuven which seems to have a sense of combining the bandes dessinées tradition and Anglophone graphic novels. Persepolis fits both. Its original language of publication was French, but its story of a young girl’s life through the rise of a repressive regime, and her eventual escape, is of course reminiscent of Art Spiegelman’s Maus. I learnt a lot from it. OK, it’s not an average story – Satrapi’s great-grandfather was the emperor overthrown by the last Shah’s father in 1925, and she uses this for certain historical insights – but it’s a gripping and human tale. One forgets just how much happened in Iran, in terms of total social dislocation, between the start of the narrative in 1979 and the end in 1984. Apparently the sequel will be out in English Real Soon Now. I can’t wait.

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Depressing news

The news from North Ossetia gets worse and worse. This morning’s Guardian had 150 dead. This morning’s BBC news had 250. And this evening the BBC reports 350. Ruthless and also it seems incompetent terrorists, combined with incompetent and trigger-happy state seciurity forces. Dreadful.

And, though it’s not on the same scale of horror, the electoral college predictor has Bush ahead for the first time since June. Rasmussen think it’s too close to call. Pennsylvania is the key state, I reckon.

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